Pre-tourney Rankings
UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#170
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#167
Pace62.7#324
Improvement-1.2#240

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#162
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#177
Layup/Dunks-0.4#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#280
Freethrows+2.3#35
Improvement-1.2#246

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#199
First Shot-0.9#196
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#215
Layups/Dunks+0.0#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#338
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#65
Freethrows-0.4#205
Improvement+0.0#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 0.00.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 2.00.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 1.01.0 - 3.0
Quad 33.0 - 4.04.0 - 7.0
Quad 416.0 - 3.020.0 - 10.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 308   @ Wyoming W 76-66 71%     1 - 0 +3.7 +1.7 +2.0
  Nov 11, 2018 195   @ North Dakota St. L 63-82 45%     1 - 1 -18.3 -9.9 -9.0
  Nov 17, 2018 241   Montana St. W 88-69 74%     2 - 1 +11.5 +15.7 -2.2
  Nov 23, 2018 275   Portland St. W 76-69 72%     3 - 1 +0.4 -7.3 +7.2
  Nov 24, 2018 345   Idaho W 66-55 91%     4 - 1 -4.3 -8.0 +5.1
  Nov 29, 2018 272   Sacramento St. W 75-58 79%     5 - 1 +7.8 +4.6 +4.4
  Dec 02, 2018 51   @ Washington L 63-67 12%     5 - 2 +8.4 -1.4 +9.8
  Dec 08, 2018 320   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 55-45 88%     6 - 2 -3.4 -12.3 +10.9
  Dec 15, 2018 251   @ Rice W 99-89 OT 58%     7 - 2 +7.4 +18.0 -11.1
  Dec 19, 2018 162   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-85 38%     7 - 3 -8.4 +4.4 -13.7
  Dec 22, 2018 324   Idaho St. W 84-65 89%     8 - 3 +5.2 +6.4 +0.2
  Dec 29, 2018 81   San Francisco W 73-71 35%     9 - 3 +5.2 +11.3 -5.8
  Jan 09, 2019 332   Cal Poly W 65-56 90%     10 - 3 1 - 0 -5.7 -8.7 +4.0
  Jan 12, 2019 312   UC Riverside W 72-64 85%     11 - 3 2 - 0 -4.0 +2.2 -5.1
  Jan 17, 2019 235   @ UC Davis W 69-58 54%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +9.4 +6.5 +4.3
  Jan 24, 2019 192   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 60-81 44%     12 - 4 3 - 1 -20.2 -6.5 -15.0
  Jan 26, 2019 217   @ Long Beach St. W 82-71 49%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +10.7 +11.6 -0.5
  Jan 31, 2019 80   UC Irvine L 62-66 OT 35%     13 - 5 4 - 2 -0.6 -4.9 +4.1
  Feb 02, 2019 185   @ Hawaii W 75-54 43%     14 - 5 5 - 2 +22.3 +8.6 +15.4
  Feb 06, 2019 252   Cal St. Northridge W 70-64 76%     15 - 5 6 - 2 -2.1 -4.2 +2.5
  Feb 09, 2019 235   UC Davis L 57-61 73%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -11.1 -8.4 -3.3
  Feb 14, 2019 312   @ UC Riverside L 57-71 71%     15 - 7 6 - 4 -20.4 -16.2 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2019 80   @ UC Irvine L 70-83 18%     15 - 8 6 - 5 -4.0 +6.2 -10.8
  Feb 21, 2019 185   Hawaii W 79-61 64%     16 - 8 7 - 5 +13.7 +7.0 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton W 82-67 66%     17 - 8 8 - 5 +10.2 +7.8 +2.2
  Feb 28, 2019 217   Long Beach St. L 64-69 69%     17 - 9 8 - 6 -10.8 -4.7 -6.7
  Mar 07, 2019 252   @ Cal St. Northridge W 76-74 58%     18 - 9 9 - 6 -0.6 +0.0 -0.6
  Mar 09, 2019 332   @ Cal Poly W 92-82 79%     19 - 9 10 - 6 +0.8 +5.6 -5.6
  Mar 14, 2019 252   Cal St. Northridge W 71-68 68%     20 - 9 -2.4 -5.9 +3.6
  Mar 15, 2019 192   Cal St. Fullerton L 58-64 55%     20 - 10 -8.0 -5.2 -3.6
Projected Record 20.0 - 10.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%